Title: Physics of the Future
Author: Michio Kaku
Publisher: Allen
Lane, 2011 (First)
ISBN: 978-1-846-14268-0
Pages: 368
A good work to guess the road
science will take in the next hundred years. Michio Kaku, himself a world-class
theoretical physicist, has produced this book after interviewing hundreds of
distinguished scientists, each one master of their own particular field of
study. The greatest pitfall one has to overcome in hazarding guesses about the
future is the severe underestimate one normally makes of the potential of
science. We are so groomed to the way things are at present, that we fail to
appreciate how science can jump over the seemingly insurmountable obstacles we
face today. Even renowned scientists are not free from such prejudices, as Lord
Kelvin noted in a self-satisfied way in the 1890s that physics will be over in
a few years! This was even before the development of quantum mechanics,
relativity and the computer revolution that was to transform the 20th
century into the most productive one in the entire human history.
The book is well categorized into
salient points which are going to define the coming century. The future
developments possible in computers, artificial intelligence, medicine,
nanotechnology, energy, space travel, wealth creation and human civilization
are identified and explained. Computers would become so cheap and ubiquitous
that we may fail to see them as chips begin to be at the core of every
conceivable thing we may use in the future. Kaku’s only alarm is the date on
which Moore’s law may break down. The famous hypothesis states that computer
power doubles in roughly 18 months. The law, formulated in the 1960s when
computer age was just kicking off has stood intact so far, resulting in cheap
computing power so that the masses can afford it. However, physical constraints
would sooner or later put brakes on the application of the law, which would be
a great barrier in progress for mankind existing at that time.
Human comfort will be boundless,
with medicinal facilities in full stream, to eliminate all our diseases and
dangerous conditions. Our life spans will be increased several fold and one
would be able to choose the age to remain for a long time. Robots would
accompany us everywhere, whose intelligence would be on near par with humans.
The horrendous amount of energy required for all these endeavours will be
generated by super-efficient mechanisms, like hydrogen, cold fusion, or
antimatter. Interstellar travel may start to become possible around the end of
the century. Kaku introduces a classification of civilizations based on the
amount of energy they consume. A Type 1 civilization uses all the available
energy of a planet, and can control the living conditions in the planet. A Type
2 civilization exploits all the energy of star, while a Type 3 civilization
uses the energy available in a whole galaxy. On this scale, our existing society
is yet to reach Type 1 status, the most we can claim is a Type 0.7 society!
Kaku muses over the nature of
human relations in this advanced era. The nature of jobs available would
radically differ from the current ones. Those who do repetitive and purely
mechanical work may find themselves unemployed by robots. But pattern
recognition and common sense are two aspect which the robots would not be able
to achieve in the foreseeable future. So, people indulging in creative work
like art, design, music and similar areas would flourish. Wisdom would be the
one thing badly in need at that time. Commerce and trade also would transform
dramatically. In place of the commodity capitalism in vogue, intellectual
capitalism would dominate the earth. Information is poised to become a prized
commodity of the coming era.
The book is splendidly researched,
with inputs from hundreds of experts. However, Kaku’s narration pales into mere
reporting when fields other than his specialization come into view. When
confronted with the advances plausible in various areas like medicine and
commerce, the quality of the output is not comparable to those from the fields
of space travel or computers or artificial intelligence. The book ends with a
relevant quote from Mahatma Gandhi, which every nation and every person should
keep in their hearts, irrespective of the technical excellence of the society
they live in. On the layout, the book spans 368 pages, which should be cut down
a bit in future editions. Readers would definitely appreciate some brevity.
The book is recommended.
Rating: 3 Star
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